| The dividend continues to rise on the current quarterly cadence, so DPS growth of ~4% is a safe input to all three legs | ||
| Cost of debt resets only marginally, keeping the acquisition spread intact | ||
| Investment volume lands inside or above the raised $1.5-2.0bn guidance at ~7.5% cap rate | ||
| Leverage stays inside the mid-to-high 5s target and drifts toward the low end | ||
| Rent recapture on lease expirations stays near 100% with low TIs, so internal growth is genuinely contractual | ||
| No tenant-credit event large enough to break the rent stream (the bear leg explicitly excludes this) |
My probability-weighted expected total return is 8.5% against a street-target-implied 17.4% (consensus target 80, median 78.5, range 73-88, 21 analysts). The disagreement is not about the business — I use consensus FY202 | high |
The rating distribution is 8 buy / 11 hold / 2 sell — a Hold consensus — yet the mean target of 80 implies +12.2% price upside. Those two are internally inconsistent: a Hold book does not normally carry double-digit impl | medium |
The revision tape is unavailable, not neutral. eps_drift and rev_drift both return n_up 0 / n_down 0, breadth 0.0, velocity 0.0 over a 365-day window, median_move_pct null, and outliers empty — no estimate revisions are | high |
No options anchor exists. desk_options.json has no chain entry for WPC, so the options_implied probability anchor is null on every bear row and, by the pack's own design note, on every bull row. The strongest available a | medium |
Consensus FY2026 EPS growth of +50.2% (n_eps 2) is GAAP EPS off a depressed 2025 base of 2.11, against a trailing dividend of 3.70 — the dividend exceeds GAAP EPS, which is normal for a REIT and meaningless as a payout r | high |
I am analyst-aisemi, whose mandate is the AI / semiconductor / data-centre value chain. WPC is a diversified net lease REIT with no disclosed data-centre exposure in this pack — the universe row is "reit / diversified ne | medium |
| archived | hash | bytes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19T08:32:01 | c95a74dad3f2 | 34,920 |