| The remaining nuclear PPA pipeline converts to signed contracts at premium pricing beyond the ~1 GW already executed | ||
| Enhanced earnings hold at or above ~40% of total EPS in 2026 and decline only gradually toward the guided 30-35% as base EPS grows, rather than compressing because merchant margins fall | ||
| PJM capacity prices do not revert to the pre-reform lows management described | ||
| Datacentre load continues to seek grid-connected firm CFE rather than routing to off-grid gas and alternative markets | ||
| The base EPS CAGR commitment of 10% rolling forward each year is maintained at guidance updates | ||
| The uprate programme proceeds on the disclosed schedule with outage duration as pre-announced |
Our probability-weighted expected return is 13.15% against the street's implied 32.0% to the 352.73 consensus target (median 362, range 296-441, 21 covering analysts, 15 buy / 6 hold / 0 sell). We are 18.85pp below the s | high |
The revision tape is entirely absent. estimates_query.py drift returns n_up 0, n_down 0, breadth 0.0, median_move null and velocity 0.0 over a 365-day window for both EPS and revenue, while the same pack carries 8-12 est | high |
Our p_bear of 25% is 23.6pp above the node_pooled anchor of 1.4% at -25% and 24.8pp above the historical 0.2%, and our p_bull of 30% is ~20pp below the interpolated pooled anchor of ~0.50 at +45%. Both anchors have effec | high |
Consensus revenue growth is +35.3% for FY2026 then +4.1% for FY2027 and +5.2% for FY2028, with dispersion rising from 4.9% (FY2025) to 45.3% (FY2026) to 61.8% (FY2027). A one-year 35% step followed by low-single-digit gr | medium |
Classified in Utilities / Independent Power Producers, but carries beta 1.118, 23.1x EV/EBITDA, 4.54x EV/sales, ROIC of 4.0%, and a 52-week range spanning 228.63-412.70 — an 80% high-to-low spread. Any factor model or sc | medium |
We score quality 8 on non-replicable licensed nuclear capacity, demonstrated pricing power and a 92.3% capacity factor, yet FY2025 ROIC is 4.0% against ROE of 16.0%. A high-moat score alongside single-digit ROIC is a gen | medium |
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| 2026-08-19T08:55:46 | 5a2aefdb461a | 36,539 |